Implied Dissent

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Super Bowl Sunday, 2013

Last week went 1-1 on winners, 1-0-1 against the spread, bringing me to 4-5 picking winners, and 2-6-1 against the spread. Not good. Anyway...
Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers, 49ers favored by 3.5. I've looked at this matchup a few different ways, but mainly looking at how each team performed in road games this season, and in particular how they've done recently in those games. Both are great home teams, but the Ravens almost always have a close game on the road, and the 49ers are only a little better than that on the road. The Ravens D is about average on the road, and the 49ers offense is above average. The Ravens offense is also about average on the road, and the 49ers D is just below average. So I'm looking for a mildly high score, 49ers on top, but close. 49ers 27, Ravens 24.