Hold on

Everyone is ready to anoint the Colts as all-everything. Manning is the greatest QB ever. The defense is elite. They'll go 19-0. Bullshit. Don't get me wrong, they are a great team, but haven't we seen this movie before? Weren't the 1996-97 Broncos unstoppable? The 1998-99 Vikings were 15-1 (and shouldn't have lost the 1), look what happened to them. The 2001-02 Rams were supposed to stomp the Pats, but were one flag away from being blown out. Here are a few reasons why the Colts are not a lock (though still the best bet):
- Tony Dungy's playoff record
- Peyton Manning's playoff record (going back to college too)
- Edgerrin James' fumbles
- The defense is good, but not great, it can be beat. They've given up 22 points/game over their last 6
- If the Patriots can fix their secondary (admittedly not likely), they will beat the Colts no matter where the game is played
- You never know when a Warren Sapp-wannabe will tear apart the knee of your best player. Injuries are a huge wild card in the NFL