Implied Dissent

Thursday, June 01, 2017

2017 NBA Finals

Got both conference finals right, for what it’s worth. I know I’m a little late posting this, but my view hasn’t changed.

Review of Round 1
Winners I got right: Celtics, Cavaliers, Raptors, Wizards, Warriors, Spurs, Rockets. Wrong on the Clippers. So 7-1.
Winners I got right with the right number of games: Warriors.

Review of Round 2
Winners I got right: Warriors, Cavaliers. Wrong on the Rockets and Wizards.

Review of Round 3
Winners I got right: Warriors, Cavaliers. Plus the right number of games for the Cavs.

NBA Finals
Golden State Warriors with home-court against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland is the champ, and they have Bron, so they have a chance. Plus Mike Brown is the opposing coach. However, GSW is too good, their D is way way better than Cleveland’s. I’m hoping for 7, but The Warriors get it done in 5. Warriors 4-1.

Sunday, May 14, 2017

NBA Playoffs 2016, Round 3

The Western Conference will start up before the East wraps, but again it really doesn’t matter much.

Review of Round 1Winners I got right: Celtics, Cavaliers, Raptors, Wizards, Warriors, Spurs, Rockets. Wrong on the Clippers. So 7-1.
Winners I got right with the right number of games: Warriors.

Review of Round 2
Winners I got right: Warriors, Cavaliers. Potentially the Wizards. Wrong on the Rockets.

Round 3
#1 Boston Celtics vs. #2 Cleveland Cavaliers, or #2 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. #4 Washington Wizards. Either way, Cavs 4-1. LeBron is too good.
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #2 San Antonio Spurs. Warriors 4-1. GSW is too good.

NBA Finals
Warriors 4, Cavaliers 1. LBJ gives them a chance, but don't expect a letdown from the dubs this time around.

Saturday, April 29, 2017

NBA Playoffs 2016, Round 2

The Eastern Conference will start up before the West wraps, but it really doesn’t matter much. At most I might switch from 5 to 4 games based on what happens in the Jazz-Clips game 7.

Review of Round 1
Winners I got right: Celtics, Cavaliers, Raptors, Wizards, Warriors, Spurs, Rockets. TBD on Clippers. Potentially 8-0.
Winners and the number of games I got right: Warriors. TBD on Clips.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
#1 Boston Celtics vs. #4 Washington Wizards. I want to be wrong on this, but I don’t think the Celtics have the extra gear they need to go far in the playoffs. Wizards 4-2.
#2 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. #3 Toronto Raptors. Still think the Raps have the best chance in the East of taking down the Cavs, but they definitely did not fill me with confidence in the first round. Cavaliers 4-2.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #4 LA Clippers or #5 Utah Jazz. Could easily be a sweep, but I think the lower seed pulls out one at home. Warriors 4-1.
#2 San Antonio Spurs vs. #3 Houston Rockets. The hardest call for me, but I feel like the Spurs are vulnerable and the Rockets offense will light them up. Rockets 4-2.

Round 3
Cavs 4, Wizards 1.
Warriors 4, Rockets 1.

NBA Finals
Warriors 4, Cavaliers 2.

Monday, April 17, 2017

Over Unders

For season win totals in the NFL, I'm 14-6-1 on top picks. Worst season was 3-3. Nice.
The just completed NBA season of 3-3 puts my career NBA record at 19-9. Best season was 6-0, worst was 1-4 (those were the first two). Note this accounts for the fact that four of my 2014-15 picks were half picks.
Combined record: 33-15-1. 69%. Very nice.

Friday, April 14, 2017

NBA Playoffs 2017

Basically chalk again this year. As usual, I’ll give my predictions for all 4 rounds now, but you should only take my current round predictions even half seriously.

Round 1
Eastern Conference
#1 Boston Celtics vs. #8 Chicago Bulls. The Bulls ended the season well, but I don’t see it. Celts 4-1.
#2 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. #7 Indiana Pacers. Cavs a little too complacent to get the sweep. Cavs 4-1.
#3 Toronto Raptors vs. #6 Milwaukee Bucks. Raptors have best shot to take down the Cavs in East, but Giannis wins at least one. Raptors 4-1.
#4 Washington Wizards vs. #5 Atlanta Hawks. Probably a boring 7 gamer. Wizards 4-3.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #8 Portland Trail Blazers. GSW takes care of business. Warriors 4-0.
#2 San Antonio Spurs #7 Memphis Grizzlies. Too bad fear the bear doesn’t rhyme, and that Memphis doesn’t have enough anymore to make it a series. Spurs 4-1.
#3 Houston Rockets vs. #6 Oklahoma City Thunder. Probably the top 2 MVP vote getters facing off. Expect a close one. Rockets 4-3.
#4 LA Clippers vs. #5 Utah Jazz. The hardest one to call, but I think the Clips at their best are better, and I expect them to be that or close to it. Clippers 4-3.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
Celtics 4, Wizards 3.
Cavaliers 4, Raptors 2.
Western Conference
Warriors 4, Clippers 1.
Spurs 4, Rockets 3.

Round 3
Eastern Conference
Cavaliers 4, Celtics 1.
Western Conference
Warriors 4, Spurs 1.

NBA Finals
Warriors 4, Cavaliers 2.

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Sunday, February 05, 2017

Superbowl 2017

Round 1
4-0 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread.

Round 2
2-2 picking winners, 2-2 against the spread. So totals 6-2, and 3-5.

Round 3
2-0 picking winners, 2-0 against the spread. So totals are 8-2, and 5-5.

Superbowl
New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons, Patriots favored by 3. Over/under is 58.5. My math adds up to Patriots 31-24. Go Pats!

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Friday, January 20, 2017

NFL Playoffs 2016-17, Round 2



Round 1
4-0 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread.

Round 2
2-2 picking winners, 2-2 against the spread. So totals 6-2, and 3-5.

Round 3
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons, Falcons favored by 5. Falcons 35-28.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 6. Patriots 27-17.

Friday, January 13, 2017

NFL Playoffs 2016-17, Round 2

Round 1
4-0 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread.

Round 2
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons, Falcons favored by 4.5. Seahawks 27-20.
Houston Texans at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 16. Patriots 27-10.
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys, Cowboys favored by 5. Cowboys 27-21.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 1. Chiefs 24-19.

Saturday, January 07, 2017

NFL Playoffs 2016-17, Round 1



First a review of previous years to make sure you know not to take this to the bank:

2016: 7-4 picking winners, 9-2 against the spread
2015: 8-3, 4-7
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 90-63 picking winners (58.8%), 68-79-6 against the spread (46.3%). Going to try the same simple, perhaps dumb, system I used last year. Lines taken from http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml.

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans, Houston favored by 4. Texans 18-17.
Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks, Seattle favored by 8. Seahawks 26-17.
Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers, Pittsburgh favored by 10.5. Steelers 28-18.
NY Giants at Green Bay Packers, Green Bay favored by 5. Packers 25-21.

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Monday, October 24, 2016

NBA Predictions 2016-17

Take with the usual grain of salt. Over/Unders from Odds Shark.

Cleveland Cavaliers 59-23 (56.5)
Toronto Raptors 50-32 (50.5)
Miami Heat 33-49 (34.5)
Atlanta Hawks 42-40 (43.5)
Boston Celtics 53-29 (52.5)
Charlotte Hornets 41-41 (42.5)
Indiana Pacers 44-38 (44.5)
Detroit Pistons 44-38 (44.5)
Chicago Bulls 36-46 (38.5)
Washington Wizards  41-41 (42.5)
Orlando Magic  40-42 (37.5)
Milwaukee Bucks  36-46 (34.5)
New York Knicks  41-41 (38.5)
Brooklyn Nets  21-61 (20.5)
Philadelphia 76ers  23-59 (24.5)
Golden State Warriors 69-13 (66.5)
San Antonio Spurs 60-22 (58.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder 45-37 (43.5)
Los Angeles Clippers 50-32 (53.5)
Portland Trail Blazers 43-39 (45.5)
Dallas Mavericks 37-45 (38.5)
Memphis Grizzlies 33-49 (42.5)
Houston Rockets 41-41 (44)
Utah Jazz 47-35 (49)
Sacramento Kings  35-47 (34)
Denver Nuggets  35-47 (37)
New Orleans Pelicans  40-42 (37)
Minnesota Timberwolves  46-36 (40.5)
Phoenix Suns  23-59 (30)
Los Angeles Lakers  22-60 (24.5)

NBA Finals: The obvious matchup, Warriors over Cavaliers.
Favorite Overs: Golden State Warriors, Minnesota Timberwolves, Orlando Magic
Favorite Unders: Los Angeles Clippers, Memphis Grizzlies, Phoenix Suns

Review of record: 4-1 last year, bringing top picks record to 16-6. Nice. Overall last year went 10-20, bringing total record to 61-59.

Thursday, September 08, 2016

NFL Predictions 2016

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis (via footballlocks).

Carolina Panthers: 12-4 (10.5)
New England Patriots: 12-4 (10.5)
Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5 (9.5)
Kansas City Chiefs: 11-5 (9.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-5 (10.5)
Denver Broncos: 11-5 (9.5)
Arizona Cardinals: 10-6 (9.5)
Seattle Seahawks: 10-6 (10.5)
Green Bay Packers: 10-6 (11)
New York Jets: 9-7 (7.5)
Minnesota Vikings: 9-7 (8.5)
Houston Texans: 9-7 (8.5)
Oakland Raiders: 9-7 (8.5)
Indianapolis Colts: 9-7 (9)
Buffalo Bills: 8-8 (8)
Washington Redskins: 8-8 (7.5)
Atlanta Falcons: 8-8 (7.5)
New York Giants: 8-8 (8)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-8 (7.5)
Baltimore Ravens: 7-9 (8.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 (7.5)
Dallas Cowboys: 7-9 (8)
Detroit Lions: 6-10 (7)
Chicago Bears: 6-10 (7.5)
New Orleans Saints: 6-10 (7.5)
Miami Dolphins: 6-10 (7)
San Diego Chargers: 6-10 (7.5)
LA Rams: 5-11 (7.5)
Philadelphia Eagles: 5-11 (6.5)
Tennessee Titans: 5-11 (5.5)
San Francisco 49ers: 4-12 (5.5)
Cleveland Browns: 3-13 (4.5)

Division winners: New England, Cincinnati, Houston, Kansas City; Washington, Green Bay, Carolina, Arizona. Wild cards: Pittsburgh, Denver; Minnesota, Seattle.
Superbowl: A two years ago rematch, New England over Seattle.

Favorite overs: New England, Kansas City, Cincinnati
Favorite under: LA

Review of prior years: Last year went 1-0, bringing top picks record to 11-5-1.

Standard disclaimers apply

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Thursday, June 02, 2016

NBA 2016 Finals

Got both conference finals winners right. So 11-3 picking series winners so far.

NBA Finals

Golden State Warriors with home-court against the Cleveland Cavaliers. A much better matchup this year than last, and wouldn't be shocked by either team winning. However, the Warriors are a bit better 2-3, and 4-12, and it's arguable whether Bron or Curry is better (no question on MVP, of course, but that's a regular season award). Add in home-court, and I'm going West. Warriors 4-3, for the repeat.

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