The Eastern Conference champ is almost a foregone conclusion, though you never know. The Western Conference is going to be really interesting. Like before I'll give predictions for all rounds now, but only take my Round 1 picks at all seriously (and even those don't take very seriously).
#1 Heat against #8 Bucks. The Bucks might get a monster game from Ellis to snag one win, but I'm going sweep. Heat 4-0.
#2 Knicks against #7 Celtics. I'm thinking the Celtics win one road game, so if they hold serve they win in 6. Unfortunately I expect the Knicks to also nab a roadie. Knicks 4-3.
#3 Pacers against #6 Hawks. The Pacers are scuffling a little, but are still better than the Hawks. I could see this being an all home wins series. Pacers 4-3.
#4 Nets against #5 Bulls. I'm assuming no Derek Rose, but that Joakim Noah is basically fine. The Nets are playing much better lately, to the point that they have an outside shot in Round 2. Nets 4-1.
#1 Thunder against #8 Rockets. Got to love Harden up against OKC, and I like how the Rockets have positioned themselves going forward, but the Thunder are quite a bit better. I figure the games in Houston are basically to toss-ups, the games in OKC will be blowouts. Thunder 4-1.
#2 Spurs against #7 Lakers. It'll be an 8-on-5 series (refs), at least to help the Lakers to nab a W or 2, hoping they don't mess up the rightful winner of the series. Spurs 4-3.
#3 Nuggets against #6 Warriors. Another all home teams series. Nuggets 4-3.
#4 Clippers against #5 Grizzlies. Vinny Del Negro in the playoffs and the Grizzlies' strength in the half-court make me go with the Grizz. Grizzlies 4-2.
#1 Heat against #4 Nets. I do give the Nets a chance, given how they're playing lately and their strength inside, but it seems unlikely. Heat 4-1.
#2 Knicks against #3 Pacers. If the Knicks make it through the Celts, they'll be ready to take on the physical Pacers. Knicks 4-2.
#1 Thunder against #5 Grizzlies. The Thunder are too athletic for the Grizz, but it will be a good one. Thunder 4-3.
#2 Spurs against #3 Nuggets. With the injuries they've had, the Nuggets won't be able to compete with the Spurs, but would beat the Lakers if that's the matchup instead. Spurs 4-1.
#1 Heat against #2 Knicks. Hot shooting and Chandler controlling the paint could be enough to topple the Heat, but again, unlikely. Heat 4-3, but not really that close.
#1 Thunder against #2 Spurs. A rematch of last year's conference finals. Probably a similar result. Thunder 4-3.
Heat with home-court against the Thunder. Also a rematch from last year. The Heat are better, the Thunder are slightly worse. Heat 4-2.