NFL Predictions 2021

After skipping last year, here are my 2021-22 NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis (via https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/win-totals). 

Buffalo Bills 12-5 (O/U: 11)

Miami Dolphins 10-7 (O/U: 9.5)

New England Patriots 10-7 (O/U: 9.5)

New York Jets 4-13 (O/U: 6)

Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 (O/U: 8.5)

Baltimore Ravens 11-6 (O/U: 11)

Cleveland Browns 9-8 (O/U: 10.5)

Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 (O/U: 6.5)

Tennessee Titans 10-7 (O/U: 9)

Indianapolis Colts 6-11 (O/U: 9)

Houston Texans 5-12 (O/U: 4)

Jacksonville Jaguars 4-13 (O/U: 6.5)

Kansas City Chiefs 13-4 (O/U: 12.5)

Las Vegas Raiders 8-9 (O/U: 7)

Los Angeles Chargers 9-8 (O/U: 9.5)

Denver Broncos 7-10 (O/U: 8.5)

Washington Football Team 8-9 (O/U: 8.5)

New York Giants 7-10 (O/U: 7)

Dallas Cowboys 8-9 (O/U: 9)

Philadelphia Eagles 7-10 (O/U: 6.5)

Green Bay Packers 11-6 (O/U: 10)

Chicago Bears 8-9 (O/U: 7.5)

Minnesota Vikings 7-10 (O/U: 9)

Detroit Lions 5-12 (O/U: 4.5)

New Orleans Saints 11-6 (O/U: 9)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12-5 (O/U: 12)

Carolina Panthers 5-12 (O/U: 7.5)

Atlanta Falcons 9-8 (O/U: 7.5)

Seattle Seahawks 11-6 (O/U: 10)

Los Angeles Rams 11-6 (O/U: 10.5)

Arizona Cardinals 9-8 (O/U: 8.5)

San Francisco 49ers 9-8 (O/U: 10.5)

Super Bowl: Chiefs over Rams

Favorite over: Saints

Favorite unders: Jets, Colts, Jaguars, Vikings, Panthers

Review of prior years: 2 years ago 2-0, bringing NFL top picks record to 20-8-1.

Superbowl 2021

Last week went 0-2, 1-1, 2-0. Totals 7-5, 6-6, 3-8-1.

Chiefs and Buccaneers, Chiefs favored by 3, Over/Under 56. System says Bucs 29-25. Chiefs have underplayed their offense a little, so bumping it a bit to Bucs 29-27 (underdog, and over).

To repeat my usual warning, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

Last week went 3-1 on winners, 1-3 against the spread, and 1-3 on over/unders. 2 week totals, 7-3, 5-5, 2-7-1.

Buccaneers at Packers, Packers favored by 3, over/under 53. Packers 28-26 (underdog and over).

Bills at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Bills 28-26 (underdog and under). If Mahomes was closer to 100% would have taken Chiefs.

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Last week went 4-2 on winners, 4-2 against the spread, and 1-4-1 on over/unders.

Rams at Packers, Packers favored by 6.5, over/under 45.5. Packers 24-21 (underdog and under).

Ravens at Bills, Bills favored by 2.5, O/U 49.5. Bills 26-25 (underdog and over).

Browns at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, O/U 57. Chiefs 33-21 (favorite and under). EDIT: Adjusting a bit for the Chiefs resting in week 17, Chiefs 30-21 (underdog and under).

Buccaneers at Saints, Saints favored by 3, O/U 52. Saints 28-25 (forcing it and saying favorite and over).

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2020-21, Round 1

Not a high degree of confidence this year (though probably shouldn’t any year, based on my track record). I know some of my scores are weird, it’s how my method works.

Colts at Bills, Bills favored by 6.5, Over/Under 51. Bills 31-24 (favorite and the over).

Rams at Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 3, O/U 42.5. Seahawks 22-21 (underdog and the over).

Bucs at Washington Football Team (still funny), Bucs favored by 9, O/U 45. Bucs 26-18 (underdog and the under).

Ravens at Titans, Ravens favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Ravens 31-24 (favorite and over).

Bears at Saints, Saints favored by 10, O/U 47.5. Saints 29-19 (too close to call on either, but will force it and take favorite and over).

Browns at Steelers, Steelers favored by 8, O/U 47.5. Steelers 28-19 (favorite and under).

Previous years:

2020: 7-4 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 5-6 on over/unders

2019: 5-6, 4-7, 6-5

2018: 6-5, 4-6-1

2017: 9-2, 6-5

2016: 7-4, 9-2

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 117-80 picking winners (59.4%), 86-104-7 against the spread (45.3%), 11-11 on over/unders (50%).

Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

That went much better. 4-0, 3-1, 1-3. Still 11-13 total between the 2 weeks.

Titans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 7.5, Over/Under 52. System has it as Chiefs 28-19. There’s reason to see upside to both offenses, moreso with Tennessee, so going with Chiefs 30-24.

Packers at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7.5, Over/Under 45. System has it as 49ers 28-18. Inching it towards Rodgers, but just a bit. 49ers 27-20.

(Wrote and scheduled posting day/time a few days ahead of time, hopefully nothing material changes in between)

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Well, that was ugly. 0-4, 0-4, 3-1. Remember what I said about being bad at this. We’re onto round 2.

Vikings at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7, Over/Under 44.5. System has it as 49ers 28-18. It’s Jimmy’s first playoff start (but he’s been around plenty as a Pat), so shading him a touch, 49ers 27-18.

Titans at Ravens, Ravens favored by 10, Over/Under 47.5. System has it as Ravens 37-16. I have a week 17/bye philosophy that the Ravens went against, so taking that down quite a bit; also, Tannehill is past his first playoff start, so figure he’s better than last week. Ravens 30-21.

Texans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, Over/Under 51.5. Andy Reid is the reason to be skeptical of KC in the playoffs, but mainly if it’s close so clock management becomes an issue, so I’ll stick with the system. Chiefs 32-18.

Seahawks at Packers, Packers favored by 4, Over/Under 45. Both teams have a proclivity for close games, but go I’ll the Lambeauians. Packers 27-21.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 1

Bills at Texans, Texans favored by 2.5, Over/Under 43.5. System has it as Texans 19-18, with Fuller out I’m saying Bills 17-14. Probably an ugly game.

Titans at Patriots, Patriots favored by 4.5, Over/Under 45. System had it as 25-14, but adjusted that for Edelman banged up and Tannehill possibly being good, so Patriots 23-17. Could be Brady’s final home game, or even his final game.

Vikings at Saints, Saints favored by 7.5, Over/Under 49.5. System has it as Saints 26-22, but don’t really trust Cousins, so Saints 27-17.

Seahawks at Eagles, Seahawks favored by 1.5, Over/Under 45. Eagles 26-25 (sticking with system). The Seahawks weren’t good this year, despite my preseason prediction and their record (of course, neither are the Eagles).

(lines from ESPN)

Previous years:

2019: 5-6 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 6-5 on over/unders

2018: 6-5, 4-6-1

2017: 9-2, 6-5

2016: 7-4, 9-2

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 110-76 picking winners (59.1%), 82-97-7 against the spread (45.8%), 6-5 on over/unders (54.5%).
Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Predictions 2019

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis. Too lazy this year to do odds (via https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2019-nfl-win-totals-betting-odds-vegas).

New England Patriots - 11 Wins, O/U 11
Miami Dolphins - 4 Wins, O/U 4.5
Buffalo Bills - 6 Wins, O/U 7
New York Jets - 8 Wins, O/U 7.5
Baltimore Ravens - 10 Wins, O/U 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Cleveland Browns - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Cincinnati Bengals - 6 Wins, O/U 6
Houston Texans - 11 Wins, O/U 8.5
Indianapolis Colts - 7 Wins, O/U 7.5
Tennessee Titans - 8 Wins, O/U 8
Jacksonville Jaguars - 7 Wins, O/U 8
Kansas City Chiefs - 11 Wins, O/U 10.5
Los Angeles Chargers - 9 Wins, O/U 9.5
Denver Broncos - 6 Wins, O/U 7
Oakland Raiders - 6 Wins, O/U 6
Dallas Cowboys - 9 Wins, O/U 9
Philadelphia Eagles - 9 Wins, O/U 10
Washington Redskins - 5 Wins, O/U 6
New York Giants - 5 Wins, O/U 6
Chicago Bears - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Minnesota Vikings - 8 Wins, O/U 9
Green Bay Packers - 8 Wins, O/U 9
Detroit Lions - 6 Wins, O/U 6.5
New Orleans Saints - 10 Wins, O/U 10.5
Atlanta Falcons - 8 Wins, O/U 8.5
Carolina Panthers - 8 Wins, O/U 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 7 Wins, O/U 6.5
Los Angeles Rams - 10 Wins, O/U 10.5
Seattle Seahawks - 10 Wins, O/U 8.5
San Francisco 49ers - 9 Wins, O/U 8
Arizona Cardinals - 4 Wins, O/U 5

Super Bowl: Patriots over Seahawks. I'm riding the Pats until I can't no more.

Favorite overs: Texans, Seahawks

Review of prior years: Last year 4-1, bringing NFL top picks record to 18-8-1.

Superbowl 2019

Round 1
1-3 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread, 2-2 on Over/Unders.

Round 2
4-0, 3-1, 3-1.

Round 3
0-2, 0-2, 1-1. Happy to have been wrong.
So totals are 5-5, 4-6, 6-4. Bleh.

Superbowl
New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams, Patriots favored by 2.5, O/U 56. It hasn't produced great results this year, but I'm sticking with my system. Rams 29-27 (call it 29-27.5 for O/U purposes). Go Patriots, one for the other thumb!

NFL Playoffs 2018-19, Round 3

Last week went 4-0 picking winners, 3-1 against the spread, and 3-1 against the Over/Under. That brings this playoffs to 5-3, 4-4, and 5-3.

Round 3
Rams at Saints, Saints favored by 3.5, Over/Under 57. Saints 34-29.
Patriots at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3, O/U 56.5. Chiefs 33-28. Go Pats!

NFL Playoffs 2018-19, Round 2

Last week went 1-3 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread, and 2-2 against the Over/Under.

Round 2
Colts at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 5, Over/Under 55.5. Chiefs 36-27.
Cowboys at Rams, Rams favored by 7, O/U 49, Rams 31-20.
Chargers at Patriots, Patriots favored by 4, O/U 48. Patriots 26-22 (call it 26.5-22 for spread purposes).
Eagles at Saints, Saints favored by 8, O/U 51.5. Saints 32-19.

NFL Playoffs 2018-19, Round 1

Keeping it simple.

Colts at Texans, Texans favored by 2, Over/Under 48.5. Texans 25-21.
Seahawks at Cowboys, Cowboys favored by 2.5, Over/Under 43.5. Cowboys 22-21.
Chargers at Ravens, Ravens favored by 2.5, Over/Under 42. Ravens 23-19 (call it 22.5-19 for OU purposes).
Eagles at Bears, Bears favored by 6.5, Over/Under 41.5. Bears 25-17.
Lines taken from ESPN.

Previous years:
2018: 6-5 picking winners, 4-6-1 against the spread
2017: 9-2, 6-5
2016: 7-4, 9-2
2015: 8-3, 4-7
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 105-70 picking winners (61.1), 78-90-7 against the spread (46.4%).

NFL Predictions 2018

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis. That is followed by the odds for the over, then the odds for the under, then my interpretation of what those two odds mean is the implied likelihood of the team going over. (via https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-over-under-win-totals).

AFC East
New England Patriots: 11-5 (11) Over -140 Under +110 Chance Over 55%
Buffalo Bills: 5-11 (6) Over +170 Under -210 Chance Over 35%
Miami Dolphins: 6-10 (6.5) Over -135 Under +105 Chance Over 54%
New York Jets: 6-10 (6) Over -105 Under -125 Chance Over 48%
AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8-8 (10.5) Over -105 Under -125 Chance Over 48%
Baltimore Ravens: 7-9 (8) Over -180 Under +150 Chance Over 62%
Cincinnati Bengals: 7-9 (6.5) Over -200 Under +160 Chance Over 64%
Cleveland Browns: 5-11 (5.5) Over -160 Under +130 Chance Over 59%
AFC South
Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-6 (9) Over -135 Under +105 Chance Over 54%
Tennessee Titans: 8-8 (8) Over -110 Under -120 Chance Over 49%
Houston Texans: 9-7 (8.5) Over -150 Under +120 Chance Over 57%
Indianapolis Colts: 7-9 (6.5) Over -190 Under +155 Chance Over 63%
AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs: 9-7 (8.5) Over -115 Under -115 Chance Over 50%
Los Angeles Chargers: 9-7 (9.5) Over -125 Under -105 Chance Over 52%
Oakland Raiders: 5-11 (7.5) Over +110 Under -140 Chance Over 45%
Denver Broncos: 8-8 (7) Over -160 Under +130 Chance Over 59%
NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles: 11-5 (10) Over -125 Under -105 Chance Over 52%
Dallas Cowboys: 8-8 (8.5) Over +120 Under -150 Chance Over 43%
Washington Redskins: 7-9 (7) Over -135 Under +105 Chance Over 54%
New York Giants: 6-10 (7) Over -145 Under +115 Chance Over 56%
NFC North
Minnesota Vikings: 11-5 (10) Over -160 Under +130 Chance Over 59%
Detroit Lions: 7-9 (7.5) Over -115 Under -115 Chance Over 50%
Green Bay Packers: 10-6 (10) Over -130 Under +100 Chance Over 53%
Chicago Bears: 9-7 (6.5) Over -140 Under +110 Chance Over 55%
NFC South
New Orleans Saints: 10-6 (9.5) Over -145 Under +115 Chance Over 56%
Carolina Panthers: 9-7 (9) Over +150 Under -180 Chance Over 38%
Atlanta Falcons: 10-6 (9) Over -160 Under +130 Chance Over 59%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-10 (6.5) Over +135 Under -165 Chance Over 40%
NFC West
Los Angeles Rams: 12-4 (10) Over -140 Under +110 Chance Over 55%
Seattle Seahawks: 6-10 (8) Over +140 Under -170 Chance Over 39%
Arizona Cardinals: 6-10 (5.5) Over -200 Under +170 Chance Over 65%
San Francisco 49ers: 8-8 (8.5) Over +140 Under -170 Chance Over 39%

AFC division winners: New England (#1 seed), Jacksonville (#2 seed), LA Chargers (#3 seed), Pittsburgh (#4 seed). Wild cards: Houston and Kansas City.

NFC division winners: LA Rams (#1 seed), Philadelphia (#2 seed), Minnesota (#3 seed), Atlanta (#4 seed). Wild cards: Green Bay and New Orleans.

Superbowl: New England over LA. Got to keep going with the Pats until they’re done.

Favorite overs: Bears, Rams
Favorite unders: Steelers, Seahawks, Raiders

Review of prior years: Last year 0-1, bringing NFL top picks record to 14-7-1.

NFL Predictions 2017

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis (via footballlocks).

New England Patriots: 13-3 (12.5)

Atlanta Falcons: 9-7 (9.5)

Dallas Cowboys: 8-8 (9)

Kansas City Chiefs: 10-6 (9)

Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-6 (10.5)

Seattle Seahawks: 11-5 (10.5)

Arizona Cardinals: 9-7 (8.5)

Green Bay Packers: 10-6 (10.5)

Denver Broncos: 10-6 (8)

Philadelphia Eagles: 10-6 (8.5)

Oakland Raiders: 11-5 (9.5)

New York Giants: 9-7 (9)

Baltimore Ravens: 7-9 (8.5)

Buffalo Bills: 6-10 (6.5)

Minnesota Vikings: 9-7 (8.5)

Indianapolis Colts: 6-10 (7.5)

New Orleans Saints: 8-8 (8)

Washington Redskins: 7-9 (7.5)

Cincinnati Bengals: 9-7 (8.5)

Tennessee Titans: 8-8 (9)

Detroit Lions: 7-9 (7.5)

Los Angeles Chargers: 8-8 (7.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9-7 (8.5)

Miami Dolphins: 8-8 (7.5)

Carolina Panthers: 9-7 (9)

Houston Texans: 8-8 (8.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars: 6-10 (6.5)

Chicago Bears: 5-11 (5.5)

New York Jets: 3-13 (3.5)

Los Angeles Rams: 5-11 (5.5)

San Francisco 49ers: 4-12 (5)

Cleveland Browns: 4-12 (4.5)

Division winners: New England, Pittsburgh, Tennessee, Oakland, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Carolina, Seattle. Wild cards: Cincinnati, Kansas City, Minnesota, Arizona.

Superbowl: New England over Green Bay

Favorite overs: Oakland

Favorite under: none

Review of prior years: Last year went 3-1, bringing top picks record to 14-6-1.

Standard disclaimers apply

Superbowl 2017

Round 1
4-0 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread.

Round 2
2-2 picking winners, 2-2 against the spread. So totals 6-2, and 3-5.

Round 3
2-0 picking winners, 2-0 against the spread. So totals are 8-2, and 5-5.

Superbowl
New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons, Patriots favored by 3. Over/under is 58.5. My math adds up to Patriots 31-24. Go Pats!

NFL Playoffs 2016-17, Round 1

First a review of previous years to make sure you know not to take this to the bank:

2016: 7-4 picking winners, 9-2 against the spread

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 90-63 picking winners (58.8%), 68-79-6 against the spread (46.3%). Going to try the same simple, perhaps dumb, system I used last year. Lines taken from http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml.

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans, Houston favored by 4. Texans 18-17.

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks, Seattle favored by 8. Seahawks 26-17.

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers, Pittsburgh favored by 10.5. Steelers 28-18.

NY Giants at Green Bay Packers, Green Bay favored by 5. Packers 25-21.

NFL Predictions 2016

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis (via footballlocks).

Carolina Panthers: 12-4 (10.5)
New England Patriots: 12-4 (10.5)
Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5 (9.5)
Kansas City Chiefs: 11-5 (9.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-5 (10.5)
Denver Broncos: 11-5 (9.5)
Arizona Cardinals: 10-6 (9.5)
Seattle Seahawks: 10-6 (10.5)
Green Bay Packers: 10-6 (11)
New York Jets: 9-7 (7.5)
Minnesota Vikings: 9-7 (8.5)
Houston Texans: 9-7 (8.5)
Oakland Raiders: 9-7 (8.5)
Indianapolis Colts: 9-7 (9)
Buffalo Bills: 8-8 (8)
Washington Redskins: 8-8 (7.5)
Atlanta Falcons: 8-8 (7.5)
New York Giants: 8-8 (8)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-8 (7.5)
Baltimore Ravens: 7-9 (8.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9 (7.5)
Dallas Cowboys: 7-9 (8)
Detroit Lions: 6-10 (7)
Chicago Bears: 6-10 (7.5)
New Orleans Saints: 6-10 (7.5)
Miami Dolphins: 6-10 (7)
San Diego Chargers: 6-10 (7.5)
LA Rams: 5-11 (7.5)
Philadelphia Eagles: 5-11 (6.5)
Tennessee Titans: 5-11 (5.5)
San Francisco 49ers: 4-12 (5.5)
Cleveland Browns: 3-13 (4.5)

Division winners: New England, Cincinnati, Houston, Kansas City; Washington, Green Bay, Carolina, Arizona. Wild cards: Pittsburgh, Denver; Minnesota, Seattle.
Superbowl: A two years ago rematch, New England over Seattle.

Favorite overs: New England, Kansas City, Cincinnati
Favorite under: LA

Review of prior years: Last year went 1-0, bringing top picks record to 11-5-1.

Standard disclaimers apply

NFL predictions 2015

Will add the Vegas over/unders, but I'm pretty sure my only favorite call is Minnesota over. I know, only one is lame, but that's how it is. Standard disclaimers apply.

Super Bowl: Colts over Packers

(Vegas over/under in parenthesis, taken from Footballlocks.com)

New England Patriots 10-6 (11)

Buffalo Bills 7-9 (8.5)

Miami Dolphins 9-7 (9)

New York Jets 6-10 (7.5)

Pittsburgh Steelers 10-6 (8.5)

Cincinnati Bengals 9-7 (8.5)

Baltimore Ravens 9-7 (9.5)

Cleveland Browns 6-10 (6.5)

Indianapolis Colts 11-5 (10.5)

Houston Texans 8-8 (8.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars 6-10 (5.5)

Tennessee Titans 6-10 (5.5)

Denver Broncos 10-6 (10.5)

Kansas City Chiefs 8-8 (8.5)

San Diego Chargers 9-7 (8.5)

Oakland Raiders 6-10 (6)

Dallas Cowboys 10-6 (9.5)

Philadelphia Eagles 10-6 (9.5)

New York Giants 9-7 (8)

Washington Redskins 6-10 (6.5)

Green Bay Packers 11-5 (11)

Detroit Lions 7-9 (8.5)

Minnesota Vikings 10-6 (7.5)

Chicago Bears 5-11 (6.5)

Carolina Panthers 7-9 (8)

New Orleans Saints 7-9 (8.5)

Atlanta Falcons 8-8 (8.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-10 (6)

Seattle Seahawks 10-6 (11)

Arizona Cardinals 7-9 (8.5)

San Francisco 49ers 6-10 (6.5)

St. Louis Rams 7-9 (8)

Superbowl 2015

Round 1
3-1 picking winners, 2-2 against the spread.

Round 2
3-1 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread.

Round 3
2-0 picking winners, 1-1 against the spread.

Total so far
8-2 picking winners, 4-6 against the spread.

Superbowl
New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks, Patriots favored by 1. When the matchup is this close, it will come down to small things. Such as the Pats center that had stabilized the line being hobbled. Or maybe something big, like whether Seattle gets a defensive touchdown. People are talking up their struggles against tight ends, but that almost all came while Wagner was out; Gronk should be good, but he won’t dominate. I do expect the Pats to largely shut down the Seahawks’ passing game, and they should be able to find holes underneath; they’ll need to stay patient to win. I just have the feeling that o-line problems will be the ultimate problem. Seahawks 23, Patriots 20. Go Pats!