NBA Predictions 2024-25

Take with the usual grain of salt. Over/Unders and odds via the DraftKings app. Favorites in bold.

Boston Celtics: Wins 56 O/U 58.5 Odds: for over -110, for under -110

New York Knicks: Wins 56 O/U 54.5 Odds: -110, -110

Milwaukee Bucks: Wins 52 O/U 50.5 Odds: -105, -115

Cleveland Cavaliers: Wins 50 O/U 48.5 Odds: -115, -105

Orlando Magic: Wins 50 O/U 47.5 Odds: -120, 100

Indiana Pacers: Wins 48 O/U 46.5 Odds: -115, -105

Philadelphia 76ers: Wins 47 O/U 49.5 Odds: -115, -105

Miami Heat: Wins 43 O/U 44.5 Odds: -105, -115

Chicago Bulls: Wins 29 O/U 28.5 Odds: -105, -115

Atlanta Hawks: Wins 34 O/U 36.5 Odds: -105, -115

Brooklyn Nets: Wins 22 O/U 19.5 Odds: -115, -105

Toronto Raptors: Wins 26 O/U 29.5 Odds: -120, 100

Charlotte Hornets: Wins 23 O/U 30.5 Odds: -105, -115

Washington Wizards: Wins 20 O/U 19.5 Odds: -130, 105

Detroit Pistons: Wins 25 O/U 25.5 Odds: -120, 100

Oklahoma City Thunder: Wins 60 O/U 56.5 Odds: -120, 100

Denver Nuggets: Wins 52 O/U 50.5 Odds: -120, 100

Minnesota Timberwolves: Wins 52 O/U 52.5 Odds: -105, -115

Los Angeles Clippers: Wins 35 O/U 35.5 Odds: -115, -105

Dallas Mavericks: Wins 52 O/U 49.5 Odds: -120, 100

Phoenix Suns: Wins 49 O/U 47.5 Odds: -115, -105

New Orleans Pelicans: Wins 46 O/U 46.5 Odds: 100, -120

Los Angeles Lakers: Wins 37 O/U 43.5 Odds: 100, -120

Sacramento Kings: Wins 45 O/U 46.5 Odds: 100, -120

Golden State Warriors: Wins 45 O/U 43.5 Odds: -110, -110

Houston Rockets: Wins 43 O/U 43.5 Odds: -115, -115

Utah Jazz: Wins 28 O/U 28.5 Odds: 100, -120

Memphis Grizzlies: Wins 44 O/U 47.5 Odds: -110, -110

San Antonio Spurs: Wins 39 O/U 36.5 Odds: -115, -105

Portland Trail Blazers: Wins 22 O/U 22.5 Odds: 100, -120

NBA Finals: Celtics over Thunder

Review of record: 28-16 (punted on last year)

NBA Predictions 2022-23 (the return)

 Take with the usual grain of salt. Over/Unders and odds via the DraftKings app.

Miami Heat 48 O/U 48.5 (-110/-110) 

Boston Celtics 54 O/U 53.5 (-105/-115) 

Milwaukee Bucks 52 O/U 52.5 (-105/-115) 

Philadelphia 76ers 54 O/U 50.5 (-120/+100 ) 

Toronto Raptors 48 O/U 45.5 (-150/+120 ) 

Chicago Bulls 37 O/U 41.5 (-125/+105 ) 

Brooklyn Nets 49 O/U 50.5 (-120/+100 ) - stay away

Cleveland Cavaliers 47 O/U 47.5 (-125/+105 ) 

Atlanta Hawks 46 O/U 45.5 (-120/+100 ) 

Charlotte Hornets 35 O/U 36.5 (+100 /-120) 

New York Knicks 40 O/U 38.5 (-110/-110) 

Washington Wizards 31 O/U 36.5 (+100 /-120) 

Indiana Pacers 26 O/U 23.5 (-110/-110) - stay away

Detroit Pistons 28 O/U 29.5 (-125/+105 ) 

Orlando Magic 27 O/U 26.5 (-120/+100 ) 

Phoenix Suns 50 O/U 52.5 (+105 /-125) 

Memphis Grizzlies 52 O/U 48.5 (-140/+115 ) 

Golden State Warriors 51 O/U 51.5 (-115/-105) 

Dallas Mavericks 47 O/U 48.5 (-115/-105) 

Utah Jazz 23 O/U 24.5 (-110/-110) - stay away

Denver Nuggets 51 O/U 49.5 (-140/+115 ) 

Minnesota Timberwolves 57 O/U 48.5 (-130/+110 ) 

Los Angeles Clippers 48 O/U 52.5 (-120/+100 ) - stay away

New Orleans Pelicans 46 O/U 44.5 (-140/+115 ) 

San Antonio Spurs 20 O/U 22.5 (-115/-105) - stay away

Los Angeles Lakers 43 O/U 45.5 (+105 /-125) - stay away

Sacramento Kings 35 O/U 33.5 (-120/+100 ) 

Portland Trail Blazers 35 O/U 39.5 (-130/+110 ) - stay away

Oklahoma City Thunder 24 O/U 23.5 (-105/-115) 

Houston Rockets 26 O/U 23.5 (-110/-110)

NBA Finals: Bucks over Nuggets

Favorites Overs: Minnesota

Favorite Unders: Chicago, Washington

Review of record: 26-15 (punted on last year)

NBA Predictions 2021-22

Honestly, don't feel like I have a great handle on this year, so punting on it. I would take NYK over 41.5, but not counting it towards my record either way. Leaning to Nets over Lakers in Finals (bleh).

Last year went 2-3 (what an embarrassment OKC was to the league with that shit), bringing overall record to 26-15.

NFL Predictions 2021

After skipping last year, here are my 2021-22 NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis (via https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/win-totals). 

Buffalo Bills 12-5 (O/U: 11)

Miami Dolphins 10-7 (O/U: 9.5)

New England Patriots 10-7 (O/U: 9.5)

New York Jets 4-13 (O/U: 6)

Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7 (O/U: 8.5)

Baltimore Ravens 11-6 (O/U: 11)

Cleveland Browns 9-8 (O/U: 10.5)

Cincinnati Bengals 6-11 (O/U: 6.5)

Tennessee Titans 10-7 (O/U: 9)

Indianapolis Colts 6-11 (O/U: 9)

Houston Texans 5-12 (O/U: 4)

Jacksonville Jaguars 4-13 (O/U: 6.5)

Kansas City Chiefs 13-4 (O/U: 12.5)

Las Vegas Raiders 8-9 (O/U: 7)

Los Angeles Chargers 9-8 (O/U: 9.5)

Denver Broncos 7-10 (O/U: 8.5)

Washington Football Team 8-9 (O/U: 8.5)

New York Giants 7-10 (O/U: 7)

Dallas Cowboys 8-9 (O/U: 9)

Philadelphia Eagles 7-10 (O/U: 6.5)

Green Bay Packers 11-6 (O/U: 10)

Chicago Bears 8-9 (O/U: 7.5)

Minnesota Vikings 7-10 (O/U: 9)

Detroit Lions 5-12 (O/U: 4.5)

New Orleans Saints 11-6 (O/U: 9)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12-5 (O/U: 12)

Carolina Panthers 5-12 (O/U: 7.5)

Atlanta Falcons 9-8 (O/U: 7.5)

Seattle Seahawks 11-6 (O/U: 10)

Los Angeles Rams 11-6 (O/U: 10.5)

Arizona Cardinals 9-8 (O/U: 8.5)

San Francisco 49ers 9-8 (O/U: 10.5)

Super Bowl: Chiefs over Rams

Favorite over: Saints

Favorite unders: Jets, Colts, Jaguars, Vikings, Panthers

Review of prior years: 2 years ago 2-0, bringing NFL top picks record to 20-8-1.

Superbowl 2021

Last week went 0-2, 1-1, 2-0. Totals 7-5, 6-6, 3-8-1.

Chiefs and Buccaneers, Chiefs favored by 3, Over/Under 56. System says Bucs 29-25. Chiefs have underplayed their offense a little, so bumping it a bit to Bucs 29-27 (underdog, and over).

To repeat my usual warning, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

Last week went 3-1 on winners, 1-3 against the spread, and 1-3 on over/unders. 2 week totals, 7-3, 5-5, 2-7-1.

Buccaneers at Packers, Packers favored by 3, over/under 53. Packers 28-26 (underdog and over).

Bills at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Bills 28-26 (underdog and under). If Mahomes was closer to 100% would have taken Chiefs.

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Last week went 4-2 on winners, 4-2 against the spread, and 1-4-1 on over/unders.

Rams at Packers, Packers favored by 6.5, over/under 45.5. Packers 24-21 (underdog and under).

Ravens at Bills, Bills favored by 2.5, O/U 49.5. Bills 26-25 (underdog and over).

Browns at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, O/U 57. Chiefs 33-21 (favorite and under). EDIT: Adjusting a bit for the Chiefs resting in week 17, Chiefs 30-21 (underdog and under).

Buccaneers at Saints, Saints favored by 3, O/U 52. Saints 28-25 (forcing it and saying favorite and over).

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NFL Playoffs 2020-21, Round 1

Not a high degree of confidence this year (though probably shouldn’t any year, based on my track record). I know some of my scores are weird, it’s how my method works.

Colts at Bills, Bills favored by 6.5, Over/Under 51. Bills 31-24 (favorite and the over).

Rams at Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 3, O/U 42.5. Seahawks 22-21 (underdog and the over).

Bucs at Washington Football Team (still funny), Bucs favored by 9, O/U 45. Bucs 26-18 (underdog and the under).

Ravens at Titans, Ravens favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Ravens 31-24 (favorite and over).

Bears at Saints, Saints favored by 10, O/U 47.5. Saints 29-19 (too close to call on either, but will force it and take favorite and over).

Browns at Steelers, Steelers favored by 8, O/U 47.5. Steelers 28-19 (favorite and under).

Previous years:

2020: 7-4 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 5-6 on over/unders

2019: 5-6, 4-7, 6-5

2018: 6-5, 4-6-1

2017: 9-2, 6-5

2016: 7-4, 9-2

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 117-80 picking winners (59.4%), 86-104-7 against the spread (45.3%), 11-11 on over/unders (50%).

Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NBA Predictions 2020-21

 Take with the usual grain of salt. Over/Unders from Vegas Insider.

Milwaukee Bucks 53-19, O/U 49.5

Toronto Raptors 42-30, O/U 41.5

Boston Celtics 44-28, O/U 45.5

Indiana Pacers 41-31, O/U 39.5

Miami Heat 44-28, O/U 44.5

Philadelphia 76ers 43-29, O/U 45.5

Brooklyn Nets 47-25, O/U 45.5

Orlando Magic 33-39, O/U 31.5

Charlotte Hornets 24-48, O/U 25.5

Washington Wizards 37-35, O/U 32.5

Chicago Bulls 27-45, O/U 30.5

New York Knicks 21-51, O/U 22.5

Detroit Pistons 21-51, O/U 23.5

Atlanta Hawks 33-39, O/U 36.5

Cleveland Cavaliers 18-54, O/U 22.5

Los Angeles Lakers 46-26, O/U 46.5

Los Angeles Clippers 43-29, O/U 45.5

Denver Nuggets 43-29, O/U 44.5

Houston Rockets 36-36, O/U 34.5

Oklahoma City Thunder 28-44, O/U 22.5

Utah Jazz 38-34, O/U 42.5

Dallas Mavericks 43-29, O/U 42.5

Portland Trail Blazers 41-31, O/U 41.5

Memphis Grizzlies 36-36, O/U 30.5

Phoenix Suns 40-32, O/U 38.5

San Antonio Spurs 28-44, O/U 29.5

Sacramento Kings 28-44, O/U 27.5

New Orleans Pelicans 38-34, O/U 36.5

Minnesota Timberwolves 27-45, O/U 28.5

Golden State Warriors 37-35, O/U 36.5

NBA Finals: Lakers over Bucks

Favorites Overs: Milwaukee, Washington, OKC, Memphis

Favorite Unders: Chicago

Feel real good on Milwaukee, Washington and Memphis

Review of record: NBA top picks record was 24-12 before last year. Not really sure how to count the 6 picks I made. Of the overs, 1 (OKC) was already over when things shutdown, Miami was very likely to be over, and Atlanta was certain to be under. Of the unders, New Orleans was nearly certain to be under, Indiana was very likely to be over, and Houston was probably going under but it was close. Generously to me, that’d be 4-2, but I’m not counting it in my overall count. Make of it what you will.

Superbowl 2020

That went exactly meh. 2-0, 0-2, 1-1. Total of 14-16 so far.

Chiefs and 49ers, Chiefs favored by 1.5, Over/Under 53.5. The system says Chiefs 25-24. I’m adjusting it up for the Mahomes missing a couple+ factor. Chiefs 27-24.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

That went much better. 4-0, 3-1, 1-3. Still 11-13 total between the 2 weeks.

Titans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 7.5, Over/Under 52. System has it as Chiefs 28-19. There’s reason to see upside to both offenses, moreso with Tennessee, so going with Chiefs 30-24.

Packers at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7.5, Over/Under 45. System has it as 49ers 28-18. Inching it towards Rodgers, but just a bit. 49ers 27-20.

(Wrote and scheduled posting day/time a few days ahead of time, hopefully nothing material changes in between)

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Well, that was ugly. 0-4, 0-4, 3-1. Remember what I said about being bad at this. We’re onto round 2.

Vikings at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7, Over/Under 44.5. System has it as 49ers 28-18. It’s Jimmy’s first playoff start (but he’s been around plenty as a Pat), so shading him a touch, 49ers 27-18.

Titans at Ravens, Ravens favored by 10, Over/Under 47.5. System has it as Ravens 37-16. I have a week 17/bye philosophy that the Ravens went against, so taking that down quite a bit; also, Tannehill is past his first playoff start, so figure he’s better than last week. Ravens 30-21.

Texans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, Over/Under 51.5. Andy Reid is the reason to be skeptical of KC in the playoffs, but mainly if it’s close so clock management becomes an issue, so I’ll stick with the system. Chiefs 32-18.

Seahawks at Packers, Packers favored by 4, Over/Under 45. Both teams have a proclivity for close games, but go I’ll the Lambeauians. Packers 27-21.

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 1

Bills at Texans, Texans favored by 2.5, Over/Under 43.5. System has it as Texans 19-18, with Fuller out I’m saying Bills 17-14. Probably an ugly game.

Titans at Patriots, Patriots favored by 4.5, Over/Under 45. System had it as 25-14, but adjusted that for Edelman banged up and Tannehill possibly being good, so Patriots 23-17. Could be Brady’s final home game, or even his final game.

Vikings at Saints, Saints favored by 7.5, Over/Under 49.5. System has it as Saints 26-22, but don’t really trust Cousins, so Saints 27-17.

Seahawks at Eagles, Seahawks favored by 1.5, Over/Under 45. Eagles 26-25 (sticking with system). The Seahawks weren’t good this year, despite my preseason prediction and their record (of course, neither are the Eagles).

(lines from ESPN)

Previous years:

2019: 5-6 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 6-5 on over/unders

2018: 6-5, 4-6-1

2017: 9-2, 6-5

2016: 7-4, 9-2

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 110-76 picking winners (59.1%), 82-97-7 against the spread (45.8%), 6-5 on over/unders (54.5%).
Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

NBA Predictions 2019-20

Take with the usual grain of salt. Over/Unders from actionnetwork.

Milwaukee Bucks 56-26 O/U 57.5
Toronto Raptors 44-38 O/U 46.5
Philadelphia 76ers 53-29 O/U 54.5
Boston Celtics 49-33 O/U 48.5
Indiana Pacers 41-41 O/U 46.5
Brooklyn Nets 43-39 O/U 43.5
Orlando Magic 42-40 O/U 41.5
Detroit Pistons 39-43 O/U 37.5
Charlotte Hornets 22-60 O/U 23.5
Miami Heat 47-35 O/U 43.5
Washington Wizards 30-52 O/U 26.5
Atlanta Hawks 37-45 O/U 33.5
Chicago Bulls 29-53 O/U 32.5
Cleveland Cavaliers 22-60 O/U 24.5
New York Knicks 24-58 O/U 26.5

Golden State Warriors 44-38 O/U 47.5
Denver Nuggets 55-27 O/U 52.5
Portland Trail Blazers 49-33 O/U 46.5
Houston Rockets 47-35 O/U 53.5
Utah Jazz 55-27 O/U 53.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 38-44 O/U 31.5
San Antonio Spurs 46-36 O/U 46.5
Los Angeles Clippers 55-27 O/U 53.5
Sacramento Kings 42-40 O/U 37.5
Los Angeles Lakers 52-30 O/U 50.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 40-42 O/U 35.5
Memphis Grizzlies 33-49 O/U 27.5
New Orleans Pelicans 32-50 O/U 39.5
Dallas Mavericks 40-42 O/U 40.5
Phoenix Suns 24-58 O/U 28.5

NBA Finals: Clippers over Bucks
Favorites Overs: Miami, Atlanta, Oklahoma City
Favorite Unders: Indiana, Houston, New Orleans

Review of record: 2-3 last year, bringing NBA top picks record to 24-12.

NFL Predictions 2019

Here are my NFL team win predictions, with Vegas over/under in parenthesis. Too lazy this year to do odds (via https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2019-nfl-win-totals-betting-odds-vegas).

New England Patriots - 11 Wins, O/U 11
Miami Dolphins - 4 Wins, O/U 4.5
Buffalo Bills - 6 Wins, O/U 7
New York Jets - 8 Wins, O/U 7.5
Baltimore Ravens - 10 Wins, O/U 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Cleveland Browns - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Cincinnati Bengals - 6 Wins, O/U 6
Houston Texans - 11 Wins, O/U 8.5
Indianapolis Colts - 7 Wins, O/U 7.5
Tennessee Titans - 8 Wins, O/U 8
Jacksonville Jaguars - 7 Wins, O/U 8
Kansas City Chiefs - 11 Wins, O/U 10.5
Los Angeles Chargers - 9 Wins, O/U 9.5
Denver Broncos - 6 Wins, O/U 7
Oakland Raiders - 6 Wins, O/U 6
Dallas Cowboys - 9 Wins, O/U 9
Philadelphia Eagles - 9 Wins, O/U 10
Washington Redskins - 5 Wins, O/U 6
New York Giants - 5 Wins, O/U 6
Chicago Bears - 10 Wins, O/U 9
Minnesota Vikings - 8 Wins, O/U 9
Green Bay Packers - 8 Wins, O/U 9
Detroit Lions - 6 Wins, O/U 6.5
New Orleans Saints - 10 Wins, O/U 10.5
Atlanta Falcons - 8 Wins, O/U 8.5
Carolina Panthers - 8 Wins, O/U 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 7 Wins, O/U 6.5
Los Angeles Rams - 10 Wins, O/U 10.5
Seattle Seahawks - 10 Wins, O/U 8.5
San Francisco 49ers - 9 Wins, O/U 8
Arizona Cardinals - 4 Wins, O/U 5

Super Bowl: Patriots over Seahawks. I'm riding the Pats until I can't no more.

Favorite overs: Texans, Seahawks

Review of prior years: Last year 4-1, bringing NFL top picks record to 18-8-1.

NBA Playoffs 2019 III

Round 1
All 8 series correct, with 2 in the right number of games.

Round 2
All 4 of the series correct, 2 in the right number of games.

Round 3
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #2 Toronto Raptors. Bucks are too good. Bucks 4-1.
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #3 Portland Trailblazers. Durant being out opens the door, but I think the champs pull it out. Warriors 4-3.

Finals
Bucks 4, Warriors 1. Giannis, shooters, and defense. And either no Durant or limited Durant.

NBA Playoffs 2019 II

Round 1
7 or 8 of the series correct, pending Denver winning tonight. 1 or 2 of those in the right number of games (again pending Denver). I think I was right to say not to overlook Orlando, but wrong to think Utah could do well against Houston/in the playoffs.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #4 Boston Celtics. The C’s look better, but not enough. I’m upgrading them to 30% chance of winning the series. Bucks 4-1 (but closer than that).
#2 Toronto Raptors vs. #3 Philadelphia 76ers. I could easily see it going strongly one way or the other, but I think Toronto got their act together more. Raptors 4-3.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #4 Houston Rockets. The question is if GSW is slipping, or if they just slipped a bit against the Clips. I’m sticking with the 3 out of 4 champs. Warriors 4-3. One of these will be the West champs.
#2 Denver Nuggets vs. #3 Portland Trailblazers, or #3 Portland Trailblazers vs. #7 San Antonio Spurs. Portland has handled the loss of Nurkic better than I expected, though helped by OKC not playing well. This will be the worst series of round 2, by quality of play. Trailblazers 4-2 over (probably) Denver, or 4-1 over San Antonio.

Round 3
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #2 Toronto Raptors. Bucks are too good. Bucks 4-1.
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #3 Portland Trailblazers. Warriors 4-1.

Finals
Bucks 4, Warriors 3. Giannis, shooters, and defense.

NBA Playoffs 2019

Very chalky, but will try to identify where upsets might come.

Round 1
Eastern Conference
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #8 Detroit Pistons. Maybe the Pistons get 1, probably not. Bucks 4-0.
#2 Toronto Raptors vs. #7 Orlando Magic. People are dismissing the Magic; they shouldn’t. This is my series with the greatest combination of no one expecting it and the chance of an upset. Raptors 4-3.
#3 Philadelphia 76ers vs. #6 Brooklyn Nets. I’m not buying the D’Angelo Russell hype train this year (he’s better, not close to All-Star level), but this is almost a perfect opponent for him. Philly could be champs because of their top 5’s firepower, or could go out early due to the lack of depth and how teams can adjust their defense much more in the playoffs for the matchup. 76ers 4-3.
#4 Boston Celtics vs. #5 Indiana Pacers. I want to believe the Celtics have figured it out, that Gordo is >90% back, that the Smart injury will help make the rotations better. TBD. Meanwhile the Pacers look a lot like the 2018 Celtics. Celtics 4-3.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #8 Los Angeles Clippers. The Warriors get sloppy once. Warriors 4-1.
#2 Denver Nuggets vs. #7 San Antonio Spurs. Experience vs. talent. I think the talent gap is too big, but don’t be shocked. Nuggets 4-3.
#3 Portland Trailblazers vs. #6 Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder looked like a really contender for a while, but I don’t see it anymore. Unfortunately, PTB lost its big guy, so this will be competitive. Trailblazers 4-3.
#4 Houston Rockets vs. #5 Utah Jazz. Probably the best round 1 series. Key will be if Gobert can defend in space, and if someone else steps up for Utah offensively. Rockets 4-3.

Round 2
Bucks 4, Celtics 1. If the Celtics really have it together (23% chance), they win in a tough 6 or 7.
Raptors 4, 76ers 1. Could see Lowry sinking things, though.
Warriors 4, Rockets 3. Rockets will probably be better than last year, but Warriors won’t take them lightly.
Nuggets 4, Trailblazers 3. Eh.

Round 3
Bucks 4, Raptors 3. But not really this close, kinda like Bos-Atl in 2008.
Warriors 4, Nuggets 1. Would be very surprised if anyone but Warriors or Rockets wins the West.

Finals
Warriors 4, Bucks 3. Great series.

Superbowl 2019

Round 1
1-3 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread, 2-2 on Over/Unders.

Round 2
4-0, 3-1, 3-1.

Round 3
0-2, 0-2, 1-1. Happy to have been wrong.
So totals are 5-5, 4-6, 6-4. Bleh.

Superbowl
New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams, Patriots favored by 2.5, O/U 56. It hasn't produced great results this year, but I'm sticking with my system. Rams 29-27 (call it 29-27.5 for O/U purposes). Go Patriots, one for the other thumb!

NFL Playoffs 2018-19, Round 2

Last week went 1-3 picking winners, 1-3 against the spread, and 2-2 against the Over/Under.

Round 2
Colts at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 5, Over/Under 55.5. Chiefs 36-27.
Cowboys at Rams, Rams favored by 7, O/U 49, Rams 31-20.
Chargers at Patriots, Patriots favored by 4, O/U 48. Patriots 26-22 (call it 26.5-22 for spread purposes).
Eagles at Saints, Saints favored by 8, O/U 51.5. Saints 32-19.