Implied Dissent

Saturday, January 23, 2016

NFL Playoffs 2015-16, Round 3

Round 1
2-2 picking winners, 4-0 against the spread.

Round 2
4-0 picking winners, 3-1 against the spread. Overall 6-2 and 7-1. I’m more shocked than you are.

Round 3
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos, Patriots favored by 3. I’m uncomfortable with how almost all pundits are writing off the Broncos. That’s a stout defense, so don’t write them off. Plus my simple and really stupid method of picking has been working, so I’m going to stick with it. Patriots 22-21.

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers, Panthers favored by 3. Weather is a wild card, but I think it favors the cats. Panthers 29-24.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

NFL Playoffs 2015-16, Round 2

Round 1
2-2 picking winners, 4-0 against the spread.

Round 2
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 5. Even given the opponents, the Chiefs’ streak is impressive. However, if the Pats are at full strength they are clearly the better team. I'm guessing rust keeps it close, but Edelman and Vollmer have to be better than the guys they’ve been running out there. Patriots 27-21

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals, Cardinals favored by 7. The Packers are good, the Cards are excellent or maybe better than that. Cards 31-20.

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers, Panthers favored by 2.5. Most games between these teams are close wins by Seattle. However, Carolina is better than they’ve been in past years, and Seattle is significantly worse on the road. Panthers 28-21.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos, Broncos favored by 7.5. There is no telling what will happen in this game. Manning could put up a perfect game, or a goose egg. Roethlisberger could dominate, or could throw 3 pick-sixes. However, I don’t see a Denver blowout as likely, so take the points. Broncos 23-20.

Saturday, January 09, 2016

NFL Playoffs 2015-16, Round 1

First a review of previous years:
2015: 8-3 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 83-59 picking winners (58.5%), 59-77-6 against the spread (43.4%). So maybe bad enough to use me as a negative indicator. Putting really little thought into it this time.

Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans, KC favored by 3. Chiefs 23-20 (call it 23.5-20 for spread purposes).
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals, Pittsburgh favored by 2.5. Bengals 24-20.
Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings, Seattle favored by 4. Seahawks 22-20.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Professional Football Team, Washington favored by 1.5. PFT 21-20.