Implied Dissent

Sunday, January 24, 2021

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

Last week went 3-1 on winners, 1-3 against the spread, and 1-3 on over/unders. 2 week totals, 7-3, 5-5, 2-7-1.

Buccaneers at Packers, Packers favored by 3, over/under 53. Packers 28-26 (underdog and over).

Bills at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Bills 28-26 (underdog and under). If Mahomes was closer to 100% would have taken Chiefs.

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

Labels: ,

Friday, January 15, 2021

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Last week went 4-2 on winners, 4-2 against the spread, and 1-4-1 on over/unders.

Rams at Packers, Packers favored by 6.5, over/under 45.5. Packers 24-21 (underdog and under).

Ravens at Bills, Bills favored by 2.5, O/U 49.5. Bills 26-25 (underdog and over).

Browns at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, O/U 57. Chiefs 33-21 (favorite and under). EDIT: Adjusting a bit for the Chiefs resting in week 17, Chiefs 30-21 (underdog and under).

Buccaneers at Saints, Saints favored by 3, O/U 52. Saints 28-25 (forcing it and saying favorite and over).

To repeat, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

Labels: ,

Saturday, January 09, 2021

NFL Playoffs 2020-21, Round 1

Not a high degree of confidence this year (though probably shouldn’t any year, based on my track record). I know some of my scores are weird, it’s how my method works.

Colts at Bills, Bills favored by 6.5, Over/Under 51. Bills 31-24 (favorite and the over).

Rams at Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 3, O/U 42.5. Seahawks 22-21 (underdog and the over).

Bucs at Washington Football Team (still funny), Bucs favored by 9, O/U 45. Bucs 26-18 (underdog and the under).

Ravens at Titans, Ravens favored by 3, O/U 54.5. Ravens 31-24 (favorite and over).

Bears at Saints, Saints favored by 10, O/U 47.5. Saints 29-19 (too close to call on either, but will force it and take favorite and over).

Browns at Steelers, Steelers favored by 8, O/U 47.5. Steelers 28-19 (favorite and under).


Previous years:

2020: 7-4 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 5-6 on over/unders

2019: 5-6, 4-7, 6-5

2018: 6-5, 4-6-1

2017: 9-2, 6-5

2016: 7-4, 9-2

2015: 8-3, 4-7

2014: 6-5, 4-5-2

2013: 4-6, 3-6-1

2012: 7-4, 5-6

2011: 7-4, 6-5

2010: 5-6, 4-7

2009: 7-4, 6-4-1

2008: 6-5, 3-7-1

2007: 7-4, 6-5

2006: 5-6, 5-6

2005: 8-3, 7-4

2004: 5-6, 2-8-1

2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 117-80 picking winners (59.4%), 86-104-7 against the spread (45.3%), 11-11 on over/unders (50%).

Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

Labels: ,