Implied Dissent

Saturday, April 13, 2019

NBA Playoffs 2019

Very chalky, but will try to identify where upsets might come.

Round 1
Eastern Conference
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #8 Detroit Pistons. Maybe the Pistons get 1, probably not. Bucks 4-0.
#2 Toronto Raptors vs. #7 Orlando Magic. People are dismissing the Magic; they shouldn’t. This is my series with the greatest combination of no one expecting it and the chance of an upset. Raptors 4-3.
#3 Philadelphia 76ers vs. #6 Brooklyn Nets. I’m not buying the D’Angelo Russell hype train this year (he’s better, not close to All-Star level), but this is almost a perfect opponent for him. Philly could be champs because of their top 5’s firepower, or could go out early due to the lack of depth and how teams can adjust their defense much more in the playoffs for the matchup. 76ers 4-3.
#4 Boston Celtics vs. #5 Indiana Pacers. I want to believe the Celtics have figured it out, that Gordo is >90% back, that the Smart injury will help make the rotations better. TBD. Meanwhile the Pacers look a lot like the 2018 Celtics. Celtics 4-3.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #8 Los Angeles Clippers. The Warriors get sloppy once. Warriors 4-1.
#2 Denver Nuggets vs. #7 San Antonio Spurs. Experience vs. talent. I think the talent gap is too big, but don’t be shocked. Nuggets 4-3.
#3 Portland Trailblazers vs. #6 Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder looked like a really contender for a while, but I don’t see it anymore. Unfortunately, PTB lost its big guy, so this will be competitive. Trailblazers 4-3.
#4 Houston Rockets vs. #5 Utah Jazz. Probably the best round 1 series. Key will be if Gobert can defend in space, and if someone else steps up for Utah offensively. Rockets 4-3.

Round 2
Bucks 4, Celtics 1. If the Celtics really have it together (23% chance), they win in a tough 6 or 7.
Raptors 4, 76ers 1. Could see Lowry sinking things, though.
Warriors 4, Rockets 3. Rockets will probably be better than last year, but Warriors won’t take them lightly.
Nuggets 4, Trailblazers 3. Eh.

Round 3
Bucks 4, Raptors 3. But not really this close, kinda like Bos-Atl in 2008.
Warriors 4, Nuggets 1. Would be very surprised if anyone but Warriors or Rockets wins the West.

Warriors 4, Bucks 3. Great series.

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