Implied Dissent

Saturday, April 27, 2019

NBA Playoffs 2019 II

Round 1
7 or 8 of the series correct, pending Denver winning tonight. 1 or 2 of those in the right number of games (again pending Denver). I think I was right to say not to overlook Orlando, but wrong to think Utah could do well against Houston/in the playoffs.

Round 2
Eastern Conference
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #4 Boston Celtics. The C’s look better, but not enough. I’m upgrading them to 30% chance of winning the series. Bucks 4-1 (but closer than that).
#2 Toronto Raptors vs. #3 Philadelphia 76ers. I could easily see it going strongly one way or the other, but I think Toronto got their act together more. Raptors 4-3.
Western Conference
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #4 Houston Rockets. The question is if GSW is slipping, or if they just slipped a bit against the Clips. I’m sticking with the 3 out of 4 champs. Warriors 4-3. One of these will be the West champs.
#2 Denver Nuggets vs. #3 Portland Trailblazers, or #3 Portland Trailblazers vs. #7 San Antonio Spurs. Portland has handled the loss of Nurkic better than I expected, though helped by OKC not playing well. This will be the worst series of round 2, by quality of play. Trailblazers 4-2 over (probably) Denver, or 4-1 over San Antonio.

Round 3
#1 Milwaukee Bucks vs. #2 Toronto Raptors. Bucks are too good. Bucks 4-1.
#1 Golden State Warriors vs. #3 Portland Trailblazers. Warriors 4-1.

Finals
Bucks 4, Warriors 3. Giannis, shooters, and defense.

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