Implied Dissent

Saturday, January 07, 2017

NFL Playoffs 2016-17, Round 1



First a review of previous years to make sure you know not to take this to the bank:

2016: 7-4 picking winners, 9-2 against the spread
2015: 8-3, 4-7
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7

Totals: 90-63 picking winners (58.8%), 68-79-6 against the spread (46.3%). Going to try the same simple, perhaps dumb, system I used last year. Lines taken from http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml.

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans, Houston favored by 4. Texans 18-17.
Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks, Seattle favored by 8. Seahawks 26-17.
Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers, Pittsburgh favored by 10.5. Steelers 28-18.
NY Giants at Green Bay Packers, Green Bay favored by 5. Packers 25-21.

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