Implied Dissent

Saturday, January 06, 2007

Happy Birthday to me

It's my last not sad birthday today. Yay. So, it's a numbers oriented post.
First, here's (for me anyway) a headslapper. It's something that I should have realized, but never really thought about, but it is indeed possible for 80% of drivers to be above average. I don't know if it's true, but it's definitely possible.
Secondly, the NFL playoffs start today. Here are my picks. Well, first, my mediocre record.
2006: 5-6 picking winners, 5-6 against the spread.
2005: 8-3, 7-4.
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Total: 26-18 picking winners (59%), 18-25-1 against the spread (42%). So take it all with a lot of grains of salt.
Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts, Colts favored by 7. The Colts were 10-1, then went 2-3 to finish 12-4. And they have a history of playoff failures. However, KC doesn't inspire any confidence in me. I figure Herm Edwards as a coach matches Tony Dungy as a playoff liability. The Colts aren't going all the way, but they will win this one relatively easily. Indy, 34-20.
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 2.5. Both teams have been up and down this season. Neither QB stands out (Hasselbeck's better, but nothing special). Parcells was a great coach, he's merely decent now. Holmgren is about the same. I'll go with the home team that can run the ball. Seattle, 20-14.
New York Jets and New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 8.5. Mangini does know the Pats well, and that's a factor that shouldn't be discounted. And I continue to think Pennington is underrated. However, Belichick will probably throw the kitchen sink at this game, his hatred of the Jets and Mangini is so great. And, the Pats did look very good in the season finale. I definitely have a pro-Pats bias, but I don't think it's clouding my judgment too much. NE, 27-17.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, Eagles favored by 7. Here we have two teams I don't regard very highly (so one will probably win the SB). They aren't bad, just not good. This could be the game that Eli establishes himself as a real top flight QB, or where he shows he's just Peyton's kid brother. The bottom line is that the line is too high, it'll likely be a close game, with the home team winning. Philly, 20-17.

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