NFL Playoffs 2012-13, Round 2
First my overdue review of previous years:
2012: 7-4 picking winners, 5-6 against the spread
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 65-45 picking winners (59%), 48-59-3 against the spread (45%). So almost, but not quite, bad enough to use me as a negative indicator.
This year in Round 1 I went 2-1 picking winners and 1-2 against the spread. Onto Round 2.
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos, Broncos favored by 9. The Ravens looked decent last week, and Peyton has a history of both great and atrocious playoff games. As such I expect the Broncos to either win a blowout or to lose; no close calls. I guess I'll go with the former. Broncos 34, Ravens 23.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers, 49ers favored by 3. I'm going with the great QB going home for revenge over the young QB in his first playoff game. Packers 30, 49ers 27.
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons, Falcons favored by 1. I want to see the Falcons and Ryan get the monkey off of their backs, but I won't be picking them in a playoff game until I see it happen once. Seahawks 23, Falcons 20.
Houston Texans at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 10. The Patriots should win, but that's too big a line, especially given the history of playoff rematches following a regular season blowout. Patriots 30, Texans 23.
2012: 7-4 picking winners, 5-6 against the spread
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 65-45 picking winners (59%), 48-59-3 against the spread (45%). So almost, but not quite, bad enough to use me as a negative indicator.
This year in Round 1 I went 2-1 picking winners and 1-2 against the spread. Onto Round 2.
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos, Broncos favored by 9. The Ravens looked decent last week, and Peyton has a history of both great and atrocious playoff games. As such I expect the Broncos to either win a blowout or to lose; no close calls. I guess I'll go with the former. Broncos 34, Ravens 23.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers, 49ers favored by 3. I'm going with the great QB going home for revenge over the young QB in his first playoff game. Packers 30, 49ers 27.
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons, Falcons favored by 1. I want to see the Falcons and Ryan get the monkey off of their backs, but I won't be picking them in a playoff game until I see it happen once. Seahawks 23, Falcons 20.
Houston Texans at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 10. The Patriots should win, but that's too big a line, especially given the history of playoff rematches following a regular season blowout. Patriots 30, Texans 23.
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