Here I go again:
Carolina Panthers at Saint Louis Rams, Rams favored by 7. Don't be fooled by the numbers, the Rams' defense is one of the best in the league. Combine this with Sports Guy's rule about sucky QBs on the road, and it looks like Saint Louis is the easy pick. Carolina's special teams are better, but the real wild card is all the turnovers by the Saint Louis offense, which is the reason their defense gives up many more points than it should. I still think the Carolina D is a bit overrated, so I'm still going with the Rams, but a couple of bad interceptions could definitely turn things around. Rams 27, Panthers 16.
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 6. Let's see, the home team almost always wins in this round, Eddie George has a dislocated shoulder, and Steve McNair looked atrocious last week. This might be a Costanza Theory pick (all instincts say go one way, so go the other), except the Titans have the revenge factor going for them, and I don't believe the Pats will take any game lightly, let alone one where the MVP is running the opposing offense. Patriots 27, Titans 10.
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3. The Colts are a great passing team, the Chiefs defend the pass ok, the Colts are an ok running team, the Chiefs are awful against the run. So Indianapolis will score a lot. Kansas City's passing is also great against a good Colts pass defense, while KC's running is top-notch and Indy's run D is really, really bad. So KC will score a lot. KC has been very inconsistent lately, and Peyton Manning has never lost in the playoffs to a team that doesn't show up (nice job last week, Denver). On the other hand KC's special teams are much better than Indy's and the game is in KC. I wouldn't be shocked if the Colts pull it off, but I'm going with the home team again. Chiefs 33, Colts 27.
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles, Eagles favored by 5.5. Green Bay should be able to put up some points on a mediocre Eagles D, with the running game doing particularly well. Philly has the better special teams situation. Normally I'd say the Packers' D matches up pretty evenly with the Eagles' offense, but they looked awful last week; if the Seahawks' receivers hadn't dropped so many balls, it would have been a really embarassing day for the Packers' D. While they could turn it around, I'm not counting on it. So I'm sticking with the home team again to win, but the Packers will cover. Eagles 24, Packers 20.
Carolina Panthers at Saint Louis Rams, Rams favored by 7. Don't be fooled by the numbers, the Rams' defense is one of the best in the league. Combine this with Sports Guy's rule about sucky QBs on the road, and it looks like Saint Louis is the easy pick. Carolina's special teams are better, but the real wild card is all the turnovers by the Saint Louis offense, which is the reason their defense gives up many more points than it should. I still think the Carolina D is a bit overrated, so I'm still going with the Rams, but a couple of bad interceptions could definitely turn things around. Rams 27, Panthers 16.
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 6. Let's see, the home team almost always wins in this round, Eddie George has a dislocated shoulder, and Steve McNair looked atrocious last week. This might be a Costanza Theory pick (all instincts say go one way, so go the other), except the Titans have the revenge factor going for them, and I don't believe the Pats will take any game lightly, let alone one where the MVP is running the opposing offense. Patriots 27, Titans 10.
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 3. The Colts are a great passing team, the Chiefs defend the pass ok, the Colts are an ok running team, the Chiefs are awful against the run. So Indianapolis will score a lot. Kansas City's passing is also great against a good Colts pass defense, while KC's running is top-notch and Indy's run D is really, really bad. So KC will score a lot. KC has been very inconsistent lately, and Peyton Manning has never lost in the playoffs to a team that doesn't show up (nice job last week, Denver). On the other hand KC's special teams are much better than Indy's and the game is in KC. I wouldn't be shocked if the Colts pull it off, but I'm going with the home team again. Chiefs 33, Colts 27.
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles, Eagles favored by 5.5. Green Bay should be able to put up some points on a mediocre Eagles D, with the running game doing particularly well. Philly has the better special teams situation. Normally I'd say the Packers' D matches up pretty evenly with the Eagles' offense, but they looked awful last week; if the Seahawks' receivers hadn't dropped so many balls, it would have been a really embarassing day for the Packers' D. While they could turn it around, I'm not counting on it. So I'm sticking with the home team again to win, but the Packers will cover. Eagles 24, Packers 20.
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