Implied Dissent

Saturday, January 05, 2008

Playoff time

It's that time of the year again, time for me to embarrass myself making NFL playoff picks against the spread. First, the review of years past:
2007: 7-4 picking winners, 6-5 against the spread
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 33-22 picking winners (60%), 24-30-1 against the spread (44%).
Spread info from Sports Guy.
Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks, Seahawks favored by 3.5. Let's see, Seattle is a great home team, is more experienced in the playoffs overall, and Washington has a crappy QB. Why is the spread only a field goal? Yes, the Racist Names closed the season well, but come on. Seahawks 27, Redskins 16.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers, Jaguars favored by 2. This looks to be the game of the weekend. The Jags closed the season very strongly, while Pittsburgh is an excellent all-around team. If the Steelers were healthy I'd probably choose them, but I think they're just banged up enough to allow the Jags to come in a knock them out. I guess we'll find out soon if Garrard is an underrated good QB, or a trick crappy one. Jaguars 23, Steelers 20.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bucs favored by 2.5. Much respect to the Giants for the game they gave my Pats, but they aren't actually good. Not that the Buc are either, but they're slightly better and home. Yes, the G-Men had an extra day of rest, but they also have some extra injuries. Bucs 24, Giants 20.
Tennessee Titans at San Diego Chargers, Chargers favored by 9. I love the way San Diego closed the season, especially Tomlinson. However, it's not like Tennessee limped to the finish line, and they did play SD tough in week 14. Coaching definitely favors Tennessee. If the Titans had some receivers, I'd pick them to win. They don't, so they'll likely lose. Chargers 24, Titans 17.

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