NFL Predictions 2014
Here are my predictions for NFL wins, team-by-team, plus the playoffs. The important parts should be fairly straight forward, but explanationof columns: Team, Wins-Losses, Las Vegas Hilton Over/Under, moneyline for betting the Over, moneyline for betting the Under, and what I calculated those moneylines imply for what "Vegas" thinks a team's chances of going over are.
NFC division winners: #1 seed Philadelphia, #2 Seattle, #3 Chicago, #4 New Orleans. Wild cards San Francisco, Green Bay.
AFC division winners: #1 seed New England, #2 Denver, #3 Indianapolis, #4 Cincinnati. Wild cards San Diego, Kansas City.
AFC Championship Game: New England over Denver.
NFC Championship Game: Philadelphia over Seattle. (Yep, both #1s over both #2s)
Super Bowl: New England over Philadelphia. (Yes, I'm a homer, but Revis Island and Gronk seem like they'll be enough to do it)
Favorite Overs: Philadelphia, Chicago, San Diego.
Favorite Unders: St Louis, Pittsburgh, Miami, Buffalo. I'd add Washington, but that's a stay-away team.
| NFC EAST | Over/Under | Over | Under | Implied Likelihood of Going Over |
| Philadelphia 11-5 | 9 | +115 | -135 | 45% |
| Dallas 7-9 | 8 | -110 | -110 | 50% |
| NY Giants 7-9 | 7.5 | -135 | +115 | 55% |
| Washington 6-10 | 7.5 | +125 | -145 | 43% |
| NFC NORTH | ||||
| Chicago 10-6 | 8 | -140 | +120 | 56% |
| Green Bay 9-7 | 10 | -145 | +125 | 57% |
| Detroit 7-9 | 8 | -150 | +130 | 58% |
| Minnesota 6-10 | 6 | +105 | -125 | 47% |
| NFC SOUTH | ||||
| New Orleans 10-6 | 9.5 | -150 | +130 | 58% |
| Carolina 9-7 | 8 | -130 | +110 | 54% |
| Tampa Bay 8-8 | 7 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Atlanta 8-8 | 8 | -130 | +110 | 54% |
| NFC WEST | ||||
| Seattle 11-5 | 11 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| San Francisco 10-6 | 10.5 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Arizona 8-8 | 7.5 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| St. Louis 6-10 | 7.5 | -110 | -110 | 50% |
| AFC EAST | ||||
| New England 11-5 | 10.5 | -135 | +115 | 55% |
| NY Jets 8-8 | 7 | -125 | +105 | 53% |
| Miami 6-10 | 8 | +110 | -130 | 46% |
| Buffalo 5-11 | 6.5 | -130 | +110 | 54% |
| AFC NORTH | ||||
| Cincinnati 9-7 | 9 | -135 | +115 | 55% |
| Baltimore 8-8 | 8.5 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Pittsburgh 6-10 | 8.5 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Cleveland 6-10 | 6.5 | -150 | +130 | 58% |
| AFC SOUTH | ||||
| Indianapolis 10-6 | 9.5 | -150 | +130 | 58% |
| Houston 8-8 | 7.5 | -145 | +125 | 57% |
| Tennessee 7-9 | 7 | -130 | +110 | 54% |
| Jacksonville 5-11 | 4.5 | -150 | +130 | 58% |
| AFC WEST | ||||
| Denver 11-5 | 11 | -140 | +120 | 56% |
| San Diego 10-6 | 8 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Kansas City 9-7 | 8 | -120 | Even | 52% |
| Oakland 4-12 | 5 | +130 | -150 | 42% |
NFC division winners: #1 seed Philadelphia, #2 Seattle, #3 Chicago, #4 New Orleans. Wild cards San Francisco, Green Bay.
AFC division winners: #1 seed New England, #2 Denver, #3 Indianapolis, #4 Cincinnati. Wild cards San Diego, Kansas City.
AFC Championship Game: New England over Denver.
NFC Championship Game: Philadelphia over Seattle. (Yep, both #1s over both #2s)
Super Bowl: New England over Philadelphia. (Yes, I'm a homer, but Revis Island and Gronk seem like they'll be enough to do it)
Favorite Overs: Philadelphia, Chicago, San Diego.
Favorite Unders: St Louis, Pittsburgh, Miami, Buffalo. I'd add Washington, but that's a stay-away team.
Labels: Delusions of Grandeur, NFL, Sports
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