Implied Dissent

Saturday, January 20, 2018

NFL Playoffs 2017-18, Round 3

That was much better. To do an actual review:

Round 1
2-2 picking winners, 0-4 against the spread.

Round 2
3-1 picking winners, 3-0-1 against the spread. So totals 5-3, 3-4-1.

Round 3
Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots, Patriots favored by 7.5. Don't underestimate the Jags' D and running game. Pats 23-20.
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles, Vikings favored by 3. The base system says Eagles 24-20, I'm Foles-adjusting that to Vikings 20-17. Call it 20.5-17 for picking purposes.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

NFL Playoffs 2017-18, Round 2

Well, last round didn't go well. Moving on....
Falcons at Eagles, Falcons favored by 3. My system doesn't know about Wentz/Foles, and says Eagles 32-20. I'm going to hazard a guess and adjust that to Eagles 23-20.
Titans at Patriots, Patriots favored by 13.5. Patriots 33-17. I will note my checkered history of picking a Pats blowout postseason win, but I feel good about this.
Jaguars at Steelers, Steelers favored by 7.5. Steelers 23-21.
Saints at Vikings, Vikings favored by 5. Vikings 27-20.

Saturday, January 06, 2018

NFL Playoffs 2017-18, Round 1

Forgot to post this earlier, will cleanup and do review later. I didn't look at the in-progress first game before posting.
Titans at Chiefs, Chiefs 28-17.
Falcons at Rams, Rams 30-20.
Bills at Jaguars, Jaguars 30-14.
Panthers at Saints, Saints 30-21.

Update:
Chiefs were favored by 9, so double wrong there.
Rams were favored by 6, so double wrong there.
Jaguars were favored by 9, so wrong against the spread.
Saints were favored by 7, tbd.
Lines taken from The Ringer
Previous years:
2017: 9-2 picking winners, 6-5 against the spread
2016: 7-4, 9-2
2015: 8-3, 4-7
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 99-65 picking winners (60.4%), 74-84-6 against the spread (46.8%).