Implied Dissent

Thursday, September 08, 2022

NFL Predictions 2022

Here are my 2022-23 NFL team win predictions (over/unders and odds via the DraftKings app).

Top picks:

Houston Texans 6-11, OVER the 4.5 total (-110)

Atlanta Falcons 6-11, OVER the 5 total (+125)


High Confidence but not quite Top Picks (count as half a pick each):

Tennessee Titans 10-7, OVER the 9 total (-105)

Chicago Bears 7-10, OVER the 6 total (+100)


Medium Confidence Pick:

Detroit Lions 6-10, UNDER the 6.5 (+105). Basically due to the +105, implying 49% chance of something I think has a low 50s chance of happening. Won't count on overall record, just noting it.


Review of prior years: last year 4-0-2, bringing NFL top picks record to 24-8-3.


For the Super Bowl, don’t really like any NFC team, but by default will go with Green Bay. Bills over Packers.