Implied Dissent

Sunday, January 19, 2020

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 3

That went much better. 4-0, 3-1, 1-3. Still 11-13 total between the 2 weeks.

Titans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 7.5, Over/Under 52. System has it as Chiefs 28-19. There’s reason to see upside to both offenses, moreso with Tennessee, so going with Chiefs 30-24.


Packers at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7.5, Over/Under 45. System has it as 49ers 28-18. Inching it towards Rodgers, but just a bit. 49ers 27-20.

(Wrote and scheduled posting day/time a few days ahead of time, hopefully nothing material changes in between)

Labels: ,

Saturday, January 11, 2020

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 2

Well, that was ugly. 0-4, 0-4, 3-1. Remember what I said about being bad at this. We’re onto round 2.

Vikings at 49ers, 49ers favored by 7, Over/Under 44.5. System has it as 49ers 28-18. It’s Jimmy’s first playoff start (but he’s been around plenty as a Pat), so shading him a touch, 49ers 27-18.

Titans at Ravens, Ravens favored by 10, Over/Under 47.5. System has it as Ravens 37-16. I have a week 17/bye philosophy that the Ravens went against, so taking that down quite a bit; also, Tannehill is past his first playoff start, so figure he’s better than last week. Ravens 30-21.

Texans at Chiefs, Chiefs favored by 10, Over/Under 51.5. Andy Reid is the reason to be skeptical of KC in the playoffs, but mainly if it’s close so clock management becomes an issue, so I’ll stick with the system. Chiefs 32-18.

Seahawks at Packers, Packers favored by 4, Over/Under 45. Both teams have a proclivity for close games, but go I’ll the Lambeauians. Packers 27-21.

Labels: ,

Saturday, January 04, 2020

NFL Playoffs 2019-20, Round 1

Bills at Texans, Texans favored by 2.5, Over/Under 43.5. System has it as Texans 19-18, with Fuller out I’m saying Bills 17-14. Probably an ugly game.
Titans at Patriots, Patriots favored by 4.5, Over/Under 45. System had it as 25-14, but adjusted that for Edelman banged up and Tannehill possibly being good, so Patriots 23-17. Could be Brady’s final home game, or even his final game.
Vikings at Saints, Saints favored by 7.5, Over/Under 49.5. System has it as Saints 26-22, but don’t really trust Cousins, so Saints 27-17.
Seahawks at Eagles, Seahawks favored by 1.5, Over/Under 45. Eagles 26-25 (sticking with system). The Seahawks weren’t good this year, despite my preseason prediction and their record (of course, neither are the Eagles).
(lines from ESPN)

Previous years:
2019: 5-6 picking winners, 4-7 against the spread, 6-5 on over/unders
2018: 6-5, 4-6-1
2017: 9-2, 6-5
2016: 7-4, 9-2
2015: 8-3, 4-7
2014: 6-5, 4-5-2
2013: 4-6, 3-6-1
2012: 7-4, 5-6
2011: 7-4, 6-5
2010: 5-6, 4-7
2009: 7-4, 6-4-1
2008: 6-5, 3-7-1
2007: 7-4, 6-5
2006: 5-6, 5-6
2005: 8-3, 7-4
2004: 5-6, 2-8-1
2003: 8-3, 4-7
Totals: 110-76 picking winners (59.1%), 82-97-7 against the spread (45.8%), 6-5 on over/unders (54.5%).
Just to be clear here, don’t use any of my game picks as advice, I am bad at this.

Labels: ,